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Survivor Speculation Based on the BIG SPOILER
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Posted by: TreborPugly

Okay, just for those of you who didn't notice the BIG SPOILER part in the subject, I'm reminding you that this thread is for speculation based on the BIG SPOILER from the article about CBS employees betting on the outcome, which reveals who the last two survivors probably are. I've you've managed to avoid this untagged BIG SPOILER in the Survivor 4/10 thread , you don't want to read this, and you don't want to read that thread either. (EDIT: The spoiler in the other thread has been removed, so don't worry about it if you didn't see it)

Okay, here goes:

I mean it, you might not want to read this.

Well, you asked for it. Anyway, the article states that Matthew and Jenna are going to be the last two standing. Assuming that's right, let's speculate on how that could be.

In my own analysis, I started at the end, with Matthew and Jenna. The only way I can see Matthew getting to the final two is if he was the one with immunity. Whom of the remaining players would Jenna pick over Matthew? (unless she's smarter than I think and picked him specifically to beat him)

Anyway, who would Matthew vote off in favor of Jenna, who would be there at the end? Not Rob, and I think not Alex. My speculation is Heidi or Christy. Let's go with Heidi.

So the last three are Matt, Jenna, and Heidi. Who would those three vote off? etc.. etc..

To sum up, my speculation in reverse order is:

M, J
M, J, H (Matt votes Heidi off)
M, J, H, A. (Matt with immunity again, J,H vote for Alex, Matt votes also for Alex, or tie with somehow Alex losing)
M,J,H,A,R (J,H,A vote Rob off, Matt or one of those three with immunity)
M,J,H,A,R,C (J,H,A,R,C vote Christy off, Matt with immunity)
M,J,H,A,R,C,B (Everybody votes Butch off, planning to vote Matt off later, or he's got immunity!)

Sound reasonable?

Treb.

Posted by: TreborPugly

The spoiler in the other thread has been removed, so it is safe to go there now...

Posted by: WinBear

I think Rob will have to go next. It looks like M and B get wise to him next week. I think B will last longer than C also. But then again, until Deena tipped her hand, I thought he and Rob were good to go.

Posted by: Chris Roberts

Alex/Jenna/Heidi realize that Rob is a dork and replace him with the much cooler and easier manipulated Matthew. So Rob goes next followed by Christy and Butch. Then Matthew wins every immunity until the end. They get rid of Heidi first because they need to break up the Heidi/Jenna alliance and Alex is more likely to vote out Heidi then Jenna. Then at the end Matthew picks Jenna because she stripteases for him. Or maybe because he sees Alex as more of a threat in the final two.

Posted by: marksman

It would be great if Matthew made it to the end. Especially since they are all afraid of him.

Imagine Jenna and Matthew alone the last night.

Posted by: jhausmann

quote:
Originally posted by TreborPugly

Well, you asked for it. Anyway, the article states that Matthew and Jenna are going to be the last two standing. Assuming that's right, let's speculate on how that could be.

In my own analysis, I started at the end, with Matthew and Jenna. The only way I can see Matthew getting to the final two is if he was the one with immunity. Whom of the remaining players would Jenna pick over Matthew? (unless she's smarter than I think and picked him specifically to beat him)

Anyway, who would Matthew vote off in favor of Jenna, who would be there at the end? Not Rob, and I think not Alex. My speculation is Heidi or Christy. Let's go with Heidi.

So the last three are Matt, Jenna, and Heidi. Who would those three vote off? etc.. etc..

To sum up, my speculation in reverse order is:

M, J
M, J, H (Matt votes Heidi off)
M, J, H, A. (Matt with immunity again, J,H vote for Alex, Matt votes also for Alex, or tie with somehow Alex losing)
M,J,H,A,R (J,H,A vote Rob off, Matt or one of those three with immunity)
M,J,H,A,R,C (J,H,A,R,C vote Christy off, Matt with immunity)
M,J,H,A,R,C,B (Everybody votes Butch off, planning to vote Matt off later, or he's got immunity!)

Sound reasonable?

Treb.

I can see it working this way. Matt is the primary food supplier, he'll be kept as long as people are hungry. Rob is still paying the Survivors and is working to get rind of Alex. 4/17 is his only chance to break up the A-H-J voting block. One of those 3 has to go and Alex, then Heidi then Jenna is the best sequence. IC throws a wrinkle and Heidi might go first.

M, J, H, A, R, C, B
M, J, R, C, B, A (with Heidi or Alex getting voted off, let's say Heidi because she's utterly worthless)
M, J, R, C, B (Alex is first priority, Immunity is all that will save him from going on 4/17)
M, J, R, C (Butch goes because Jenna wins IC)
M, J, C (Rob loses tie breaker)
M, J
M

Posted by: Demandred

quote:
Originally posted by jhausmann
M, J, R, C, B, A (with Heidi or Alex getting voted off, let's say Heidi because she's utterly worthless)

Utterly or udderly? :P

Posted by: SnakeEyes

Where was this article at?

And foor some reason when Matthew makes me think of Kevin Bacon's Vic in White Water Summer.

Posted by: jhausmann

quote:
Originally posted by Demandred
Utterly or udderly? :P

Either way, she's soon to be a distant mammary...

Posted by: fmowry

Boo, hiss. Bad jokes.

Or is that Boob, hiss? ;)

Frank

Posted by: hookbill

I just want to go on record as admitting that I was wr...wr....wr....wrong (that's tough for me to do) when I predicted that Rob and Deena would end up in the finals. I was surprised that somebody woke up and voted Deena off. I hope I'm wrong about Rob making it to the finals too.

I still stand by my statement that this particular Survivor has been a predictable. It's just not giving me the interest that I have received in past Survivors. True, I can't predict what the ultimate outcome is, but it is pretty clear to see what will happen by the end of each show.